TIP707: The Collapse of Long-Term Capital Management w/ Clay Finck
21 March 2025 - 1 hour 20 minsIn this episode, Clay explores When Genius Failed by Roger Lowenstein, the gripping story of the rise and fall of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM).
Founded by Wall Street’s brightest minds, including Nobel Prize-winning economists, LTCM generated astronomical returns using complex mathematical models and extreme leverage—until a financial crisis in 1998 exposed its fatal flaws. Clay also discusses the dangers of overconfidence, the illusion of diversification, and why excessive leverage can be a ticking time bomb.
Additionally, he shares details on an exclusive value investing event hosted by TIP in Big Sky, Montana, in September 2025.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00 - Intro
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Series Episodes
TIP801: Value Investing Meets Venture Capital w/ Kyle Grieve
In today’s episode, Kyle Grieve discusses lessons from venture capital that long-term value investors can apply to improve decision-making. He explores concepts such as power laws, network effects, de-risking investments, and the importance of holding high-potential businesses. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:23 - How venture capital power laws shape investing returns and portfolio outcomes 00:06:19 - Why a tiny number of winners dominate most long-term investing results 00:08:41 - Why selling potential power-law winners early can severely damage portfolio performance 00:08:41 - How modest portfolio contributors can evolve into massive long-term winners 00:09:21 - Why accepting losses is the cost of capturing outsized investing returns 00:11:25 - How Moore’s Law and Metcalfe’s Law create powerful technology-driven investment opportunities 00:13:34 - Why investors should scale positions as businesses become progressively de-risked 00:25:41 - How unpopular or overlooked businesses can generate exceptional long-term investment returns 00:32:24 - Why averaging up in strong businesses can outperform traditional value strategies 00:57:06 - How long-horizon arbitrage allows investors to benefit from fundamental business improvement Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire meeting here. Buy The Power Law. Follow Kyle on X and LinkedIn. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses through The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: HardBlock Human Rights Foundation Vanta Unchained Netsuite Fundrise Shopify References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
1 hour 4 mins
22 March Finished
TIP800: Navigating an AI-Driven Market w/ François Rochon
On today's episode, Clay is joined by François Rochon to discuss his 2025 annual letter and the key themes shaping markets in 2025. He also digs into his top holdings, including Constellation Software, Alphabet, and Meta. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:18 - François's key takeaways and lessons from 2025 00:03:58- Why François views AI as a revolution on par with the early internet 00:07:04 - The circular investment dynamic in AI infrastructure and what it means for companies like Nvidia 00:11:46 - How Alphabet and Meta are using massive capex spending to both defend and grow their businesses 00:17:52 - Why François believes shares of Constellation Software are cheap despite the AI-driven sell-off in software stocks 00:30:03 - What made Mark Leonard one of François's favorite CEOs 00:42:09 - Why François sold CarMax after 18 years 01:11:29 - The three essential qualities every successful long-term investor must develop Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire meeting here. Rochon’s firm: Giverny Capital. Rochon’s annual letters. Follow Clay on X and LinkedIn. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook. Browse through all our episodes here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: HardBlock Human Rights Foundation Vanta Unchained Netsuite Fundrise Shopify References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
1 hour 14 mins
20 March Finished
TIP799: The Davis Dynasty w/ Kyle Grieve
Kyle Grieve discusses the remarkable story of the Davis Dynasty, a multi-generational investing family that compounded wealth through discipline, focus, and a deep understanding of insurance businesses. He explores the philosophies of Shelby Davis, his son Shelby Cullom Davis, and his grandson Chris Davis. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:44 - How and why Shelby Davis entered investing later in life 00:06:31 - Why frugality shaped Davis’s investing philosophy 00:11:57 - How insurance became Davis’s core compounding engine 00:14:54 - Why stocks beat bonds during inflationary decades 00:17:16 - How Davis utilized leverage 00:20:20 - What the “Davis Double Play” is and how to use it 00:34:58 - Why an early winning track record can be a dangerous thing 00:54:26 - How a few long-held businesses created the Davis dynasty’s wealth Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire meeting here. Read The Davis Dynasty. Follow Kyle on X and LinkedIn. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook. Browse through all our episodes here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: SimpleMining HardBlock AnchorWatch Human Rights Foundation Linkedin Talent Solutions Vanta Unchained Onramp Netsuite Shopify References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
1 hour 5 mins
15 March Finished
TIP798: Nintendo Stock Deep Dive w/ Clay Finck
In this episode, Clay breaks down the fascinating history and business model of Nintendo, one of the most iconic entertainment companies in the world. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:58 - How Nintendo evolved from a playing card company into one of the world’s most influential gaming businesses 00:14:13 - How movies, theme parks, and mobile apps help extend Nintendo’s intellectual property 00:22:48 - The strategic shift from one-time console sales to recurring revenue 00:26:21 - Why the Switch 2 could expand Nintendo’s ecosystem 00:29:25 - How the Nintendo Switch transformed the company’s business model and profitability 00:47:00 - Why iconic franchises like Mario, Zelda, and Pokémon form the foundation of Nintendo’s competitive moat 00:52:51 - Whether Nintendo’s current valuation offers an attractive opportunity for long-term investors Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire meeting here. The Intrinsic Value Podcast’s episode on Nintendo. Crossroads Capital Shareholder Letters. Follow Clay on X and LinkedIn. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook. Browse through all our episodes here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: HardBlock Human Rights Foundation Vanta Netsuite Shopify Plus500 Unchained Fundrise References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
1 hour 1 min
13 March Finished
TIP797: Born To Be Wired w/ Kyle Grieve
Kyle Grieve discusses the life and career of legendary capital allocator John Malone and details the at times complex strategies that helped him compound capital over decades. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:55 - How Malone uncovered fraud and took over Jerrold 00:06:20 - Why risk assessment shaped his “what if not” framework 00:09:21 - How he chose TCI over higher-paying offers 00:11:29 - Creative leverage strategies to survive heavy debt 00:13:23 - Why EBITDA helped reframe TCI’s cash economics 00:55:17 - How clustering acquisitions built regional cable dominance 00:18:51 - The Liberty Media spinoff and tax-efficient structuring 00:44:06 - Asymmetric bets that created massive upside for shareholders 00:34:34 - Lessons from disruption and Netflix’s streaming threat 00:48:54 - Malone’s thoughts on leadership, decentralization, and long-term capital allocation Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire meeting here. Buy Born To Be Wired here. Listen to my episode on the Cable Cowboys here. Follow Kyle on Twitter and LinkedIn. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook. Browse through all our episodes here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: SimpleMining HardBlock AnchorWatch Human Rights Foundation Linkedin Talent Solutions Vanta Unchained Onramp Netsuite Shopify References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
1 hour 4 mins
8 March Finished
TIP796: Die with Zero & Linde Stock Analysis w/ Clay Finck
Clay explores Bill Perkins’ book Die with Zero, which challenges the traditional mindset of accumulating wealth at all costs and instead encourages readers to think more intentionally about how and when they spend their money. In the second segment, Clay shifts gears to analyze Linde PLC, the global industrial gas powerhouse. He explains why Linde may represent an attractive opportunity in today’s market. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:40 - Why optimizing for life experiences may matter more than maximizing net worth 00:23:56 - Why you should consider giving money to your kids earlier in life rather than later 00:27:28 - The tradeoff between compounding money and compounding memories 00:31:26 - The concept of time-bucketing your life to maximize fulfillment 00:35:42 - An overview of Linde PLC’s business and its strong competitive position 00:46:56 - Why Linde is an attractive opportunity to consider with AI disrupting so many different industries Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire meeting here. Bill Perkins’ book: Die with Zero. Follow Clay on X and LinkedIn. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook. Browse through all our episodes here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: HardBlock Human Rights Foundation Simple Mining Unchained Plus500 Netsuite Vanta Shopify Fundrise References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
55 mins
6 March Finished
